Calm before the storm.....?
Submitted by Oram & Kaylor on May 15th, 2017Trying to accurately predict the movement of the financial markets is akin to predicting the weather. No one really knows, and we have to wait to see what actually happens.
The Markets
After touching an all-time high Friday morning, the NASDAQ saw its worst daily decline for the year as technology stocks sold off sharply. The Dow Jones Industrial Average held onto modest gains to end at an all-time high. For the week, the Dow rose 0.33 percent to close at 21,271.97. The S&P fell 0.27 percent to finish at 2,431.77, and the NASDAQ lost 1.55 percent to end the week at 6,207.92.
Returns Through 6/9/17 |
1 Week |
YTD |
1 Year |
3 Year |
5 Year |
Dow Jones Industrials (TR) |
0.33 |
8.89 |
21.32 |
10.62 |
13.96 |
NASDAQ Composite (PR) |
-1.55 |
15.32 |
25.19 |
12.71 |
16.78 |
S&P 500 (TR) |
-0.27 |
9.61 |
17.38 |
9.91 |
15.34 |
Barclays US Agg Bond (TR) |
-0.15 |
2.42 |
0.76 |
2.74 |
2.30 |
MSCI EAFE (TR) |
-1.17 |
14.29 |
16.08 |
1.29 |
10.05 |
Source: Morningstar.com. *Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Three- and five-year returns are annualized. The Dow Jones Industrials, MSCI EAFE, Barclays US Agg Bond and S&P, excluding “1 Week” returns, are based on total return, which is a reflection of return to an investor by reinvesting dividends after the deduction of withholding tax. The NASDAQ is based on price return, which is the capital appreciation of the portfolio, excluding income generated by the assets in the portfolio in the form of interest and dividends. (TR) indicates total return. (PR) indicates price return. MSCI EAFE returns stated in U.S. dollars.
The Really Rich — The top 0.1 percent of U.S. taxpayers (i.e., top one out of every 1,000 taxpayers) paid 19.9 percent of all federal income tax for the 2014 tax year (source: Internal Revenue Service, BTN Research).
No Recession Here — The current economic expansion in the U.S. will reach eight years in length on June 30. No expansion in history has lasted longer than 10 years based on data tracked since 1854 (source: National Bureau of Economic Research, BTN Research).
They Cut Back, We Increased — U.S. oil producers increased their field production of crude oil by 645,000 barrels a day (to 9.34 million barrels per day) over the six months from Nov. 30, 2016, to May 31. The increased output was in response to a 1.8 million barrel per day cutback announced by 24 oil producing countries on Nov. 30, 2016 (source: Department of Energy, BTN Research).
*The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Morgan Stanley Capital International Europe, Australia and Far East Index (MSCI EAFE Index) is a widely recognized benchmark of non-U.S. stock markets. It is an unmanaged index composed of a sample of companies representative of the market structure of 20 European and Pacific Basin countries and includes reinvestment of all dividends. Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index is an unmanaged index comprised of U.S. investment-grade, fixed-rate bond market securities, including government, government agency, corporate and mortgage-backed securities between one and 10 years. Written by Securities America, Copyright June 2017. All rights reserved. Securities offered through Securities America, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. SAI# 1818454.1