Calm before the storm.....?
Submitted by Oram & Kaylor on May 15th, 2017Trying to accurately predict the movement of the financial markets is akin to predicting the weather. No one really knows, and we have to wait to see what actually happens.
Stocks ended mixed on Friday. Tech stocks slid as Treasury yields rose. The Dow Jones and the S&P achieved record closing highs after President Biden signed the stimulus bill into law.
For the week, the Dow rose 4.17 percent to close at 32,778.64. The S&P gained 2.69 percent to finish at 3,943.34, and the NASDAQ climbed 3.12 percent to end at 13,319.86.
1 Week |
YTD |
1 Year |
3 Year |
5 Year |
|
Dow Jones Industrials (TR) |
4.17 |
7.60 |
58.09 |
11.74 |
16.47 |
NASDAQ Composite (TR) |
3.12 |
3.50 |
86.47 |
21.83 |
24.21 |
S&P 500 (TR) |
2.69 |
5.33 |
61.78 |
14.48 |
16.55 |
Barclays US Agg Bond (TR) |
-0.43 |
-3.35 |
0.88 |
4.89 |
3.39 |
MSCI EAFE (TR) |
3.00 |
3.68 |
52.04 |
5.32 |
9.05 |
Source: Morningstar.com. *Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Three- and five-year returns are annualized. The Dow Jones Industrials, MSCI EAFE, Barclays US Agg Bond, NASDAQ and S&P, excluding “1 Week” returns, are based on total return, which is a reflection of return to an investor by reinvesting dividends after the deduction of withholding tax. (TR) indicates total return. MSCI EAFE returns stated in U.S. dollars.
Quick, Before Rates Rise — 13 percent of outstanding home mortgages nationwide as of Dec. 31, 2020, i.e., 7.2 million mortgages out of 53.9 million mortgages, were refinanced during 2020 (source: Federal Reserve Bank of NY, BTN Research).
It’s the Renters Who Are Hurting — Just one in 39 homeowners (2.5 percent) was at least three months behind in paying their monthly mortgage as of Dec. 31, 2020. However, one in five renters (20.5 percent) was at least three months behind in paying their monthly rent as of Dec. 31, 2020 (source: Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, BTN Research).
What a Comeback — Many American employers have recovered, and as of Feb. 28, they have hired back 67 percent of the 25.4 million jobs that were lost last year during March and April 2020 (source: DOL, BTN Research).
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* The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Morgan Stanley Capital International Europe, Australia and Far East Index (MSCI EAFE Index) is a widely recognized benchmark of non-U.S. stock markets. It is an unmanaged index composed of a sample of companies representative of the market structure of 20 European and Pacific Basin countries and includes reinvestment of all dividends. Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index is an unmanaged index comprised of U.S. investment-grade, fixed-rate bond market securities, including government, government agency, corporate and mortgage-backed securities between one and 10 years. Written by Securities America, Copyright March 2021. All rights reserved. Securities offered through Securities America, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. SAI#3492438.1