Calm before the storm.....?
Submitted by Oram & Kaylor on May 15th, 2017Trying to accurately predict the movement of the financial markets is akin to predicting the weather. No one really knows, and we have to wait to see what actually happens.
The Markets
Investors weighed the impact last week’s firing of FBI Director James Comey could have on President Trump’s pro-growth goals. That concern, along with monthly inflation and soft retail sales data led to a drop in U.S. stocks Friday. For the week, the Dow fell 0.35 percent to close at 20,896.61. The S&P lost 0.26 percent to finish at 2,390.90, and the NASDAQ rose 0.34 percent to end the week at 6,121.23.
Returns Through 5/12/17 |
1 Week |
YTD |
1 Year |
3 Year |
5 Year |
Dow Jones Industrials (TR) |
-0.35 |
6.69 |
20.98 |
10.51 |
13.08 |
NASDAQ Composite (PR) |
0.34 |
13.71 |
29.21 |
13.89 |
15.85 |
S&P 500 (TR) |
-0.26 |
7.58 |
18.30 |
10.33 |
14.48 |
Barclays US Agg Bond (TR) |
0.20 |
1.56 |
0.57 |
2.58 |
2.20 |
MSCI EAFE (TR) |
0.32 |
12.34 |
16.63 |
1.48 |
8.21 |
Source: Morningstar.com. *Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Three- and five-year returns are annualized. The Dow Jones Industrials, MSCI EAFE, Barclays US Agg Bond and S&P, excluding “1 Week” returns, are based on total return, which is a reflection of return to an investor by reinvesting dividends after the deduction of withholding tax. The NASDAQ is based on price return, which is the capital appreciation of the portfolio, excluding income generated by the assets in the portfolio in the form of interest and dividends. (TR) indicates total return. (PR) indicates price return. MSCI EAFE returns stated in U.S. dollars.
Aging Population — By 2030 (13 years from now), the U.S. could face a shortage of as many as 104,900 medical doctors, including 43,100 primary care physicians (source: Association of American Medical Colleges, BTN Research).
Off to College — Of the 3.14 million high school graduates in 2016, 2.19 million students began college in the fall of 2016, i.e., 70 percent of 2016 high school graduates went onto college (source: Department of Labor, BTN Research).
Uncharted Territory — The NASDAQ Composite index closed above 6,000 on April 25 for the first time in its 46-year history. After peaking at 5,049 in March 2000, the index fell 71 percent to 1,114 over the next 31 months. It wasn’t until April 2015 that the NASDAQ rebounded to close back above 5,049 (source: BTN Research).
*The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Morgan Stanley Capital International Europe, Australia and Far East Index (MSCI EAFE Index) is a widely recognized benchmark of non-U.S. stock markets. It is an unmanaged index composed of a sample of companies representative of the market structure of 20 European and Pacific Basin countries and includes reinvestment of all dividends. Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index is an unmanaged index comprised of U.S. investment-grade, fixed-rate bond market securities, including government, government agency, corporate and mortgage-backed securities between one and 10 years. Written by Securities America, Copyright May 2017. All rights reserved. Securities offered through Securities America, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. SAI# 1797271.1